Syz Group: The Near Call of the Year
This prediction was so good it... But Tesla's collapse yesterday was almost too perfect... and now I'm feeling very strange about the world we live in...
Dear Fellow Traveler:
I read a 100-page report by Swiss investment company Syz Group every week.
It’s a combination of charts and texts—basically, the week in review—but for people who want market content as graphically as possible.
Their 2025 Forecast projected a series of outlooks for this year.
One of them (mainly in jest as a surprise), buried in the back of the issue, was this…
Elon Musk and Italian President Georgia Meloni Get Married…
Trump and Musk Go From BFF to Foes…
I had long wondered when the relationship between President Trump and Elon Musk would hit its tipping point. This seemed like it would eventually lead to a collision.
Here we are…
It seems that Syz Group had expected something bad to happen.
But they needed a catalyst for this professional wrestling-style breakup.
Syz Group proposed this very split… Musk leaving DOGE, government support for Tesla and SpaceX evaporating… a huge drop in market capitalization…
That’s what we had on Thursday… Only it wasn’t over an Italian woman.
It was over…
What was it over again?
I don’t even know what…
But we’ve already had calls for Musk’s deportation…
What’s next…
Tune in later today, I guess…
Nothing Feels Real Anymore…
The markets are running on liquidity, not fundamentals. Our money is made up, and the return on equity doesn’t matter…
Meanwhile, our government has turned into the plot line of professional wrestling (all while our currency goes to hell).
This entire collapse yesterday felt scripted and insane because there is no way we can have billionaires behaving like this, right?
All we needed was Trump kicking Musk in the chin and then throwing him through a barbershop window.
I’m sure somewhere, someone is working on that meme.
The coincidence in all this… was what I wrote yesterday morning before the bell.
I recommended that people get long a short-ETF of Tesla. (Short Tesla by purchasing an inverse ETF)…
My recommendation had nothing to do with Trump or Musk…
It had everything to do with the growing liquidity pocket forming around the stock.
But this spat was just perfectly timed.
Insane that the technicals lined up just three hours ahead of what must be one of the most insane thing I’ve seen since Joe Biden called a voter fat and challenged him to a pushup contest.
The TSLS jumped 14.4% yesterday…
The TSLQ (double, inverse leveraged ETF of Tesla stock) surged 28.6%.
And the In-The-Money Call at $7.00… gained 77%, while the one-tick Out-of-The-Money Call came with a 260% gain. (The $9 call jumped 625%).
I just trade the technicals… and it’s almost like this entire day was scripted…
It was just too perfect… all of it.
This is why you follow the technicals… just in case we really do live in a simulation.
Just in case all hell does break loose…
Want the next dive into momentum… liquidity… insider buying… and special situations?
Our daily Capital Wave Report goes live at 9 am today… Can’t wait to see you there…
Stay positive,
Garrett Baldwin
Secretary of WTH